Expand global trade forecasts in U.S. tariff policy

The landscape of global trade is expected to develop with moderate growth as the international community reacts to tariff strategies formulated by the U.S. government. According to a Reuters report, DHL Group CEO Tobias Meyer stressed that most global trade, which is not affected by U.S. policy, shows positive momentum.

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DHL Trade Atlas 2025, developed by DHL in partnership with the Stern School of Business at New York University, global commodity trade has a CAGR of 3.1% from 2024 to 2029. This speed shows a slight acceleration compared to the past decade. DHL, along with U.S. giants such as UPS and FedEx, plays a crucial role in monitoring economic trends due to its extensive operations in various industries around the world.

During this period, allegations of leading trade growth were among countries such as India, Vietnam, Indonesia and the Philippines. Experts predict that despite the potential for additional tariff hiking and retaliation measures in other U.S. countries, global trade will continue to develop, despite the decline at a rate of decline.

As the world’s leading importer, the United States continues to play a key role and is second in export rankings. According to IndexBox platform data, the country’s current import and export shares are 13% and 9% respectively, affecting the process of global trade.

Source: Index Box Market Intelligence Platform